Bulgaria

After the summer recess, the Bulgarian Parliament rushed to change the rules for electing the chair of the National Statistical Institute (NSI). However, under the pretext of improving independence, this is simply an attempt to remove an inconvenient director who refuses to comply with the demands of political parties and institutions, even when they are contrary to the legislation and principles on which the statistical institute is based.

This week, it became clear[1] that hundreds of administrative judges received stuffed rabbits upon taking office. Some may say, ‘So what? It is a harmless gesture. However, such an act is not merely infantile. It: on the one hand, takes away from the judge (or at least some of the administrative judges) the human dignity […]

One of the recommendations of last week\'s IMF mission in Bulgaria is to \"cool down wage growth in the public sector.\" This is not the first time that the IME has commented on the accumulation of risks to fiscal stability as a result of ill-considered decisions to increase spending, and in particular wages in the defense and security sectors over the past year.

It is now official – Bulgaria will become the 21st member of the euro area. This concludes a years-long process of preparing the country to join the monetary union. The first euro coins and notes will appear in Bulgarian wallets on January 1, 2026. In June 2025, EU finance ministers unanimously approved Bulgaria’s entry into the eurozone. The Bulgarian lev will be replaced by the euro at the beginning of 2026, with the exchange rate set at 1 euro = 1.95583 leva.

The declining number of nurses in Bulgaria over recent decades puts hospital healthcare services at risk. There is an unwritten rule that every doctor should have between two and three nurses to support their work effectively. However, in Bulgaria, this ratio is lower. While smaller hospitals in remote and sparsely populated areas are most affected by this issue, larger hospitals are not immune to it either.

In 2024, Romania will break the 50% government debt limit, becoming the EU country with the largest increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio since the start of the pandemic. High budget deficits - levels of 6-9% of GDP - have pushed Romania\'s debt from 35% in 2019 to 52% in 2024, with a forecast of close to 60% in 2026. In just a few years, Romania will likely have a higher debt than Germany.

For the third consecutive year, the percentage of countries experiencing a decline in the rule of law has decreased. Additionally, for the first time in five years, more countries have shown improvement in the \"absence of corruption\" indicator. Bulgaria, however, is not among these countries. From 2016 to 2024, the state of fundamental human rights has worsened in 81% of the countries surveyed, including Bulgaria.

In October, Bulgarian interim Finance Minister Lyudmila Petkova held a press conference regarding the 2025 state budget and the medium-term framework for 2025–2028. The biggest surprise was the expert assessment, based on current policies and enacted legislation, which projected a nominal spending increase of BGN 18.1 billion in 2025. Such a significant rise, even as an expert projection, raises several questions:

In November, the Institute for Market Economics’ (IME) introduced its White Paper, Unlocking Growth: The Path Forward After the Elections. But what are the goals we can realistically achieve in the medium term? Below, we present eight fundamental goals with a four-year horizon that are fully attainable and would significantly improve the country’s development potential and quality of life.

Earlier this month, it became clear that the World Bank has classified Bulgaria as a high-income country. This news is an important reflection of the long-term growth trajectory and catching-up process of the developed countries, particularly those in the European Union. Still, it is far from meaning that Bulgaria already has a guaranteed spot in the rich countries club and does not have any difficult problems to solve.